Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.052963 0.057495 0.062083 0.067068 0.072323 0.077691 0.083583
2025-03-23 0.046695 0.053410 0.060444 0.068334 0.076911 0.085926 0.096090
2025-03-30 0.041652 0.049944 0.058900 0.069229 0.080750 0.093145 0.107427
2025-04-06 0.036945 0.046319 0.056736 0.069057 0.083118 0.098557 0.116681
2025-04-13 0.034167 0.044559 0.056397 0.070702 0.087345 0.105927 0.128073
2025-04-20 0.030555 0.041488 0.054258 0.070023 0.088708 0.109909 0.135536
2025-04-27 0.028003 0.039459 0.053148 0.070369 0.091118 0.114989 0.144196
2025-05-04 0.026257 0.038262 0.052904 0.071636 0.094527 0.121177 0.154123
2025-05-11 0.025149 0.037768 0.053439 0.073784 0.098952 0.128552 0.165464
2025-05-18 0.022107 0.034551 0.050376 0.071311 0.097617 0.128951 0.168454
2025-05-25 0.020239 0.032757 0.049008 0.070854 0.098667 0.132149 0.174739
2025-06-01 0.018539 0.031073 0.047679 0.070353 0.099585 0.135132 0.180731
2025-06-08 0.017968 0.030961 0.048453 0.072628 0.104096 0.142657 0.192436
2025-06-15 0.017061 0.030311 0.048462 0.073877 0.107304 0.148596 0.202261
2025-06-22 0.016103 0.029521 0.048231 0.074775 0.110043 0.153960 0.211411
2025-06-29 0.014861 0.028221 0.047222 0.074569 0.111310 0.157456 0.218246
2025-07-06 0.014324 0.027957 0.047645 0.076291 0.115100 0.164157 0.229121
2025-07-13 0.013095 0.026530 0.046333 0.075568 0.115612 0.166658 0.234712
2025-07-20 0.012274 0.025695 0.045831 0.075930 0.117543 0.170964 0.242588
2025-07-27 0.011781 0.025357 0.046034 0.077263 0.120771 0.176947 0.252612
2025-08-03 0.011563 0.025463 0.046891 0.079525 0.125270 0.184607 0.264821
2025-08-10 0.010141 0.023417 0.044407 0.076919 0.123061 0.183466 0.265719
2025-08-17 0.009337 0.022387 0.043424 0.076437 0.123732 0.186075 0.271429